1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. Tyler Reddick 5. At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. The FireKeepers Casino 400 can be seen Sunday at 3 p.m. His average finish at Michigan (5.4) is eight spots better than his average start (13.4) dating back to 2019. Alex Bowman 3. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. This type of track suits Reddick very well. Two weeks ago, two of McClure's core picks finished in the top 10: Kyle Larson (fifth place) and Erik Jones, who finished ninth after starting 34th in the grid. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. This pattern repeats for 21st through 30th and 31st through 40th. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. Chase Elliott 3. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Cole Custer 6. And dont forget about thetools that FantasyLabshas to offer, likeour Lineup Optimizerto effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or our Lineup Builderif you like to hand-build your lineups. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. Michigan Track History Kyle Larson has been elite at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,100)Career at Auto Club: 9 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.6. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Our NASCAR driver rankings have the top 35 drivers, each with a commentary on their 2017 With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. and give one of our public leagues a go. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. These times can be a tricky thing to sift through at times, but once you find what you are looking for, they can be extremely useful. Now, he's turned his attention to Sunday's 2022 NASCAR at Michigan race and locked in his NASCAR DFS picks. ET Fantasy Football. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. She earned her B.A. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Its also the closest to my hometown. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. And, as always, good luck! ET on Sunday. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. . This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). 11 Toyota. The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. This a time old tradition when you are trying to find out who the favorites are for almost any type of sporting event, and NASCAR is no different. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. But this is the NextGen car, which he and his team have shown no ability to improve or master this late into the year. These practice times can provide very useful fantasy information if the times can be properly interpreted. In the results column in the last three races on this sub-track type, Busch has results of 4th (Las Vegas), 3rd (Kansas) and 2nd (Charlotte). August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR DraftKings picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway, airing Sunday, Feb. 26 at 3:30 p.m. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. Daniel Suarez 6. His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. All Rights Reserved. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. Ross Chastain ($9,900)Career at Auto Club: 4 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 25.8. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. A name and email address are required to post a comment. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks.