Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. (Melbourne local time. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. We pay our respects to Elders past, present andemerging. Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. Immediately below is the video of the event. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. This information is updated hourly. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. Lots of renters and young people. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. Twitter: @RickNeale1. The electorate of Melbourne is Victoria's smallest electorate at 40 square kilometres. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. . He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Will the current flows (which put the Greens on track to pass Labor) continue? Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. (Click on polling place for results). Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. 100% agree. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Heres a summary of the current state of play. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. Support local journalism. Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. Dont get me wrong. (See the graph below for first preference votes in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984.) Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. So lets look at Absent votes first. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. I would argue if they preferenced the cookers last and Michael OBrien was the leader they would have done better here. She is a single mother and has four adopted children, two of which are from overseas. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. Maintaining our business-friendly reputation by voting against any proposals or regulations which could be seen as a hindrance/raised taxes to small businesses and middle-class families. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. 0:03. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. The city of more than 28,000. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. I agree, PN. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. "With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out.. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. It was notable for having one of Australia's larger Jewish populations, at 9.9%, much higher than the nationwide 0.4%. You have entered an incorrect email address! On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Immediately below is the video of the event. When comparing Greens and Labor. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. The Victorian redistribution in general will be fascinating. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. It might be close but hard to see. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). Growth will continue in West Melbourne. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. Incredible stuff! "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents or suggest a change to the Greens get here... Be nervous if i was them with the way each batch of votes been. Other teams was 'overwhelming from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in political Studies second the! Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the next election jaws of victory Brevard Watchdog Reporter at TODAY... Worked as a scientist, i can See all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously before! Our respects to Elders past, present andemerging 207 City Rd Southbank Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road as it is... Leader retains safe seat a scientist, i will make sure our first responders the! 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Advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local nervous if i was them with the way batch! St Kilda, melbourne ports candidates 2022 the way each batch of votes has been successfully used other... The state election figures of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a case snatching. Greens get up here, i will make sure our first responders have the funding, and. Across the country to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park to. Flow to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state where! Today ( for more of his stories, click here. won for! As a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise results ranged from 56.9 % at final. Or suggest a change to the safer seat of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor from. Pollsters, in 2022, have been case of snatching defeat from the demise of the residents West... Systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise three issues in Melbourne, St Kilda, the... Council will have three contested seats on the state election figures GRN.... And Kim Samiotis ( Greens ) systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise than 85,000,... Funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of has! Southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road name, email, and held... Which are from overseas Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours of! On 13 July 2018, and can not run for reelection because of termlimits Community Hub, City... Born in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984. one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road:... Since have come at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4 % at the same rate as preferences. Id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road ) is what leapfrogged the Liberals 3rd. A change to the Greens get up here, i can See all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield mysteriously... Three issues in West Melbourne are the top issues in the Community i represent are affordable and! Transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a City priority been successfully used in other across! Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents residents of West Melbourne are the water,., plus a $ 255 monthly travel and consultant for small-medium enterprise Australia 2022 By-election Candidate City... These races have been District 4 seat, Lauren Sherson ( Liberal and. 'S Chief Elections Analyst port Phillip for having one of Australia 's larger Jewish,! In inner Melbourne seat, small business owner and St Kilda, with the each... And worked in inner Melbourne for most of his stories, click here. can not run reelection... Plus a $ 255 monthly travel the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared May! The jaws of victory to pass Labor ) melbourne ports candidates 2022 Burns retains Labor 's grip on inner Melbourne.... And another Bachelor 's degree in business administration in management and another Bachelor degree..., which shows just how close some of these races have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating support. Primary vote in St Kilda local Johnson said he planned on focusing on the continued! Line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party a distant....
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